Let’s be honest, in dynasty no one wants Todd Gurley. Who would’ve thought that it was possible to go from consecutive 1st overall RB performances, to getting released from his team and being a player fantasy owners intentionally avoid in the span of a few short years? Does this mean he is on his way out of Fantasy relevance completely or does it mean there is value to be had? Future Hall of Fame running back and NFL analyst Maurice Jones-Drew (MJD) certainly thinks so. After Gurley signed with Atlanta, MJD reflected on his own days with Dirk Koetter and predicted Gurley to finish with 280 total touches, 1200 rushing yards, 500 receiving yards, and 19 touchdowns. If Gurley has at least 12 receptions, this stat line would have put him as the RB2 overall last season in half point per reception (.5PPR) leagues. While he believes he has at least one elite season left, others view him as an “injury prone” back who lost a step, and is trying to salvage his career on a new team. What’s amazing is that somehow both seem equally realistic. In this article I intend to display recent statistics to provide an accurate depiction of the Gurley situation, providing information to create your own opinion of his value.
Would you believe me if I told you that Leonard Fournette, Dalvin Cook, and Josh Jacobs each averaged between 100 and 110 all purpose yards per game in their rookie campaigns? Although the dynasty community will admit Jacobs is a great rookie back, he tends to not get the love that other running backs with the draft capital and first-year production tend to after their rookie seasons. Josh Jacobs clearly delivered as the consensus 1.01 for the 2019 fantasy rookie drafts from the start – in his first start he became the second back to have two touchdowns alongside 100yds since LaDainian Tomlinson in a debut game.
Leonard Fournette always feels like the most nauseating top tier asset in the dynasty community. Whether it’s his injuries, team, or yards per carry, there is always an argument against his production. Commonly lost in this conversation is that he’s one of the most physically gifted backs in the league. Weighing in at 228 pounds and standing 6 feet tall, Leonard is only 9 pounds lighter and 3 inches shorter than Derrick Henry. Oh, and fun fact: in 2017 Leonard Fournette posted the top two fastest speeds for any player during the NFL season clocking 22.05mph and 21.76 mph respectively (yes, this includes Tyreek Hill).
The Dynasty Economist article series displays a current player’s value in the dynasty community. From this, I will outline statistics that will give evidence to indicate if each player is better or worse than that perceived value.
The Dynasty Economist article displays a current player’s value in the dynasty community. From this, I will outline statistics that will give evidence to indicate if each player is better or worse than that perceived value.
One of the most popular Sell High’s is Aaron Jones. It’s easy to see why, 19 total touchdowns (23 including the postseason), lack of receiving options on the packers, and a “split” backfield. However, what if I told you he might be a buy?
If you’re an owner of a team that you believe is primed to win now, I have been analyzing the facts on Gurley, and if it would be worth the price to buy from his current rebuilding owner. In this article, I am hoping to provide some insight on why Gurley might be the perfect piece to take your team to the fantasy promised land. I understand it is impossible to truly know what is going on with Gurley, but this is my attempt to try and piece together his fantasy output.